Oleksandria 3-0 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.67
Over
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
44%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.3pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.91/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.95
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 3-2 HT 3-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
22.09.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-5 HT 0-4 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
09.04.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-1 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
02.10.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
27.08.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-2 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
16.03.2019 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-3 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oleksandria
3-0
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
5 Total Shots 0
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria ran out comfortable winners over Chornomorets Odessa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oleksandria as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 5-0.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Oleksandria and 2.00 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Oleksandria 3-0 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 56%, draw 27%, Chornomorets Odessa 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oleksandria), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oleksandria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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