Chornomorets Odessa 3-2 Oleksandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.56
Over
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No Pick
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
43%
4-5
19%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.03/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.01
-5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
222 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Oleksandria
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-5 HT 0-4 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
09.04.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-1 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
02.10.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
27.08.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 2-2 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
16.03.2019 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-3 HT 0-3 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
06.10.2018 Oleksandria Oleksandria 3-2 HT 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Oleksandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chornomorets Odessa nicked a narrow win over Oleksandria 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Chornomorets Odessa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oleksandria led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 2.00 for Oleksandria.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Oleksandria?

Chornomorets Odessa 3-2 Oleksandria in the Ukraine - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Oleksandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chornomorets Odessa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 37%, draw 29%, Oleksandria 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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