Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

Kolos Kovalivka
1-1 HT 1-0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ukraine - Premier League – 2025/2026

Kolos Kovalivka vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.48
Over
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
43%
4-5
16%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kolos Kovalivka v Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 23%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
0.96/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.31
-39% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kolos Kovalivka vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
09.04.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 3-0 HT 2-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
30.09.2022 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2-0 HT 2-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
04.12.2021 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-1 HT 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
30.07.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 HT 0-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
POST-MATCH Kolos Kovalivka vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kolos Kovalivka at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kolos Kovalivka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 0.40 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.

What was the final score of Kolos Kovalivka vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolos Kovalivka vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolos Kovalivka win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kolos Kovalivka 50%, draw 28%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kolos Kovalivka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolos Kovalivka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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