Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Rukh Vynnyky — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
24%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.15
Over Pick
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
39%
4-5
27%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
74%
-19.1pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.0pp
24%
Away Win
10%
+14.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.0pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 12%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
2.27/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.12
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -9%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
470 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 1-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
19.03.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 2-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
02.09.2022 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
20.11.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
21.02.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Rukh Vynnyky
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk got the better of Rukh Vynnyky 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.20 for Rukh Vynnyky.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Rukh Vynnyky in the Ukraine - Premier League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 55%, draw 21%, Rukh Vynnyky 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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