Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Rukh Vynnyky — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
2.0
Over
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No Pick
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
42%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-16.0pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.3pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+9.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.55/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.96
+30% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
475 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 HT 2-1 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
23.09.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 1-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
19.03.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 2-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
02.09.2022 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
20.11.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
21.02.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
1-1
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Rukh Vynnyky
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk and Rukh Vynnyky couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shakhtar Donetsk at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.33 for Rukh Vynnyky.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Rukh Vynnyky in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 56%, draw 24%, Rukh Vynnyky 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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