Aurora 1-0 Wilstermann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 1 Dec 2025

📅01/12/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.29
Over 2.5
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
40%
-4.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
60%
+4.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.84/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.08
+11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +94%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
25.8 Crosses 12.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Wilstermann
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 Passes 269
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.11.2025 Aurora Aurora 2-2 HT 2-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLPLK
01.09.2025 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-3 HT 0-2 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
23.06.2025 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
08.12.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-3 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
11.08.2024 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
10.03.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
1-0
AWAY Wilstermann
1.93 xG 0.15
73% Ball Possession 27%
30 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
478 Passes 136
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
37 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Wilstermann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora nicked a narrow win over Wilstermann 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aurora had 73% of the ball to Wilstermann's 27%, shots finished 30-7, expected goals 1.93 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aurora's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aurora and 1.00 for Wilstermann.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Wilstermann?

Aurora 1-0 Wilstermann in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Wilstermann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aurora 56%, draw 22%, Wilstermann 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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