Wilstermann 1-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.92/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.94
-27% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
232 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.3 Crosses 18.7
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Aurora
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 187
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
17.07.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
13.02.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-2 HT 0-2 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
09.05.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
13.03.2022 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
02.12.2021 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
1-1
AWAY Aurora
2.21 xG 0.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
298 Passes 260
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wilstermann and Aurora couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Wilstermann had 52% of the ball to Aurora's 48%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.21 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Wilstermann and 1.00 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Aurora?

Wilstermann 1-1 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 40%, draw 26%, Aurora 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wilstermann), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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