Nacional Potosi 3-1 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
15%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
57%
+1.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
21%
Away Win
21%
+0.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
2.02/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.20
+38% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 68%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
24.8 Crosses 14.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.76 xG 0.87
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 Passes 185
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.10.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-4 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.04.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
05.12.2021 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.08.2021 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-2 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
3-1
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.57 xG 1.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 6
228 Passes 217
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi got the better of Independiente Petrolero 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 51% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 49%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.57 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.80 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Independiente Petrolero?

Nacional Potosi 3-1 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 58%, draw 21%, Independiente Petrolero 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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