Wilstermann 1-3 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
31%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.6pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
31%
Away Win
42%
-11.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.26/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.91
-36% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.6 Crosses 17.8
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Aurora
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 0.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 Passes 226
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.08.2024 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
10.03.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
25.02.2024 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
17.07.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
13.02.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-2 HT 0-2 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
09.05.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
1-3
AWAY Aurora
1.46 xG 1.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
343 Passes 250
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora saw off Wilstermann 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Aurora made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wilstermann had 56% of the ball to Aurora's 44%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.46 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aurora led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Wilstermann and 0.83 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Aurora?

Wilstermann 1-3 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 37%, draw 32%, Aurora 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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