Nacional Potosi 2-0 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
1.67/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.40
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 72%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
24.7 Crosses 15.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.80 xG 0.90
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
233 Passes 164
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-3 HT 0-3 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
10.03.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
28.02.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.10.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-4 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.04.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
05.12.2021 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
2-0
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.36 xG 0.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
241 Passes 229
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi saw off Independiente Petrolero 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 50% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 50%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.36 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.83 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Independiente Petrolero?

Nacional Potosi 2-0 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 54%, draw 22%, Independiente Petrolero 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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