Independiente Petrolero 3-3 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
1.14/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.08
+12% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
15.7 Crosses 18.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 0.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
193 Passes 270
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 2-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
28.02.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.10.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-4 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.04.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
05.12.2021 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.08.2021 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-2 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3-3
AWAY Nacional Potosi
0.00 xG 0.14
38% Ball Possession 62%
Total Shots 5
Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
48 Passes 88
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
1 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero and Nacional Potosi shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Petrolero at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 38% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 62%, expected goals 0.00 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.33 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Independiente Petrolero 3-3 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 46%, draw 25%, Nacional Potosi 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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