Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Newport County v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals
Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Newport County 1-2 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics
AFC Wimbledon edged past Newport County 2-1 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Wimbledon as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Newport County had 59% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 41%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.07 to 1.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newport County had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Newport County and 1.00 for AFC Wimbledon.
Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon Result & Final Score
Newport County 1-2 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Wimbledon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newport County 31%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Wimbledon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.