ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 Hyderabad FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 2 Jan 2025

📅02/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.03
Over 2.5
60%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
-5.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hyderabad FC EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.78/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.78
+27% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 68%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.4 Crosses 14.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hyderabad FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.52 xG 0.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
353 Passes 296
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2024 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 0-2 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
10.02.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-0 HT 2-0 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC HİNSL
14.01.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 0-1 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC HINSK
02.12.2023 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 0-2 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
13.03.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-0 HT 0-0 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC HİNSL
09.03.2023 Hyderabad FC Hyderabad FC 0-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3-0
AWAY Hyderabad FC
2.25 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
274 Passes 366
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Hyderabad FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan cruised past Hyderabad FC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 45% of the ball to Hyderabad FC's 55%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.25 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 0.17 for Hyderabad FC.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Hyderabad FC?

ATK Mohun Bagan 3-0 Hyderabad FC in the India - Super League on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Hyderabad FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 63%, draw 20%, Hyderabad FC 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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