Aluminium Arak 3-0 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 2 Jan 2025

📅02/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.36
Over 2.5
28%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.44
No
70%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
50%
1.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
9%
6.87
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.8 — our 50% vs market 45.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.9pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
72%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.4pp
28%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.4pp
30%
BTTS Yes
37%
-6.8pp
70%
BTTS No
63%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.84/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.28
-31% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Corners 3
08.03.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 2-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
30.08.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 2-0 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak ran out comfortable winners over Shams Azar Qazvin 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aluminium Arak as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (70%) landed while under 2.5 goals (72%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aluminium Arak and 1.00 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Aluminium Arak 3-0 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 42%, draw 32%, Shams Azar Qazvin 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminium Arak), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aluminium Arak) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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