Shams Azar Qazvin 2-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.38
Draw
41%
2.66
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.26
Over 2.5
22%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.6
No
67%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
1.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.98
4-5 Goals
11%
9.13
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
39%
-8.8pp
41%
Draw
34%
+6.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
78%
Under 2.5
76%
+1.9pp
22%
Over 2.5
24%
-1.9pp
33%
BTTS Yes
34%
-1.4pp
67%
BTTS No
66%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
0.98/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.85
-11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
3 Corners 6
30.08.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 2-0 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin nicked a narrow win over Aluminium Arak 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (78%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak?

Shams Azar Qazvin 2-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 30%, draw 41%, Aluminium Arak 29%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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