Persepolis 4-2 Foolad Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
3.06
No
58%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
6.47
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.4pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.3pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
28%
+13.6pp
58%
BTTS No
72%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persepolis EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 14%
+10% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.60/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.34
+1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persepolis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Foolad Khuzestan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
11 Corners 3
30.08.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-2 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
27.01.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
19.08.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
22.01.2022 Persepolis Persepolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
22.10.2021 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 1-3 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
06.07.2021 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
POST-MATCH Persepolis vs Foolad Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis beat Foolad Khuzestan 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Persepolis as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persepolis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Persepolis and 0.33 for Foolad Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Persepolis vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Persepolis 4-2 Foolad Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persepolis vs Foolad Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Persepolis 52%, draw 30%, Foolad Khuzestan 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persepolis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persepolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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