Sepahan 2-3 Paykan Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
67%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Paykan Qazvin EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
1.90/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.04
+26% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paykan Qazvin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3 Corners 5
29.08.2023 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 1-3 HT 1-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
31.12.2022 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 1-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
09.05.2022 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 0-1 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
24.12.2021 Sepahan Sepahan 1-2 HT 0-1 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
06.07.2021 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin 1-1 HT 1-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
15.01.2021 Sepahan Sepahan 2-1 HT 1-0 Paykan Qazvin Paykan Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Paykan Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paykan Qazvin squeezed past Sepahan 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Sepahan carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sepahan and 1.00 for Paykan Qazvin.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Paykan Qazvin?

Sepahan 2-3 Paykan Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Paykan Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 64%, draw 23%, Paykan Qazvin 13%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAN More Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League
8 Mar 2024
15:15 Mes Rafsanjan vs Tractor FC Analysis →
15:30 Shams Azar Qazvin vs Aluminium Arak Analysis →
17:00 Persepolis vs Foolad Khuzestan Analysis →
19:15 Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan Analysis →