Kheybar Khorramabad 1-2 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 2 Jan 2025

📅02/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
40%
2.77
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.44
Over 2.5
28%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
48%
1.93
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
11%
6.08
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.93 — our 48% vs market 42.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.2pp
40%
Draw
32%
+7.4pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.2pp
72%
Under 2.5
66%
+6.5pp
28%
Over 2.5
34%
-6.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +69%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
267 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan squeezed past Kheybar Khorramabad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 40% / 24% — and on the day Mes Rafsanjan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Kheybar Khorramabad 1-2 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kheybar Khorramabad 36%, draw 40%, Mes Rafsanjan 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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