Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 2 Jan 2025

📅02/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.29
Draw
41%
2.77
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
10%
7.3
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
28%
-7.3pp
41%
Draw
33%
+8.0pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.7pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.0pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+8.2pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.64/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.09
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -43%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sepahan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
7 Corners 5
05.10.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
06.05.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 1-1 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
27.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
23.11.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-3 HT 0-2 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
23.08.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 1-0 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
19.01.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 2-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan and Sepahan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 20% / 41% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.33 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 02/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 20%, draw 41%, Sepahan 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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