Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.19
No
65%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.26
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.43
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+1.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.8pp
65%
BTTS No
58%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.38/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.72
+94% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sepahan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
3 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
06.05.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 1-1 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
27.02.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 1-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
23.11.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-3 HT 0-2 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
23.08.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 1-0 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
19.01.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 2-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
12.08.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-2 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan squeezed past Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.50 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 21%, draw 28%, Sepahan 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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