Eibar 2-1 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 2 Jan 2026

📅02/01/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
4.52
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.01
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
17.7
X/1
18%
3.77
X/2
6%
11.85
X/X
8%
4.63
2/1
10%
29.0
2/2
6%
11.15
2/X
6%
20.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.81/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.32
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
24.3 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mirandes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.19
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
364 Passes 286
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Eibar Eibar 0-1 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
19.10.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
26.01.2024 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
05.10.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-3 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
20.03.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-3 HT 2-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
10.10.2022 Eibar Eibar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
2-1
AWAY Mirandes
2.52 xG 0.76
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
379 Passes 153
80% Pass Accuracy 59%
43 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar squeezed past Mirandes 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eibar had 65% of the ball to Mirandes's 35%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.52 to 0.76 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Eibar's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eibar and 0.83 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Mirandes?

Eibar 2-1 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 02/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Eibar 60%, draw 22%, Mirandes 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eibar)
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