Mirandes 1-0 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.81
2-3 Goals
36%
1.92
4-5 Goals
14%
8.02
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.01
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
15.4
X/1
22%
4.89
X/2
12%
5.65
X/X
16%
2.97
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
8%
4.92
2/X
4%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.3pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.6pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.1pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.27/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.37
+12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 71%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
18.9 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Eibar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.79
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
314 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.01.2024 Eibar Eibar 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
05.10.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-3 HT 1-1 Eibar Eibar İS2
20.03.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-3 HT 2-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
10.10.2022 Eibar Eibar 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
03.04.2022 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
09.10.2021 Mirandes Mirandes 3-3 HT 1-2 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
1-0
AWAY Eibar
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
190 Passes 336
62% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes squeezed past Eibar 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mirandes as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Mirandes had 41% of the ball to Eibar's 59%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mirandes and 1.83 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Eibar?

Mirandes 1-0 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 43%, draw 31%, Eibar 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mirandes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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