CD Castellon 2-0 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.23
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 33% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.04
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
11.85
X/1
13%
5.28
X/2
10%
6.77
X/X
16%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
17%
4.34
2/X
9%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.7pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.21/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.26
-16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
24.2 Crosses 13.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Levante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
17.07.2024 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon HAZ
13.06.2010 Levante Levante 3-1 HT 3-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
16.01.2010 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
21.03.2009 Levante Levante 3-1 HT 2-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
18.10.2008 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-1 HT 2-0 Levante Levante İS2
08.04.2006 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
2-0
AWAY Levante
1.32 xG 1.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
277 Passes 268
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Castellon saw off Levante 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; CD Castellon found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, CD Castellon had 50% of the ball to Levante's 50%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.32 to 1.91 — on chances, Levante could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Castellon and 1.33 for Levante.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Levante?

CD Castellon 2-0 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 35%, draw 32%, Levante 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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