Levante 1-0 CD Castellon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
0.93/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/5.20
-40% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -71%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CD Castellon
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
13.06.2010 Levante Levante 3-1 HT 3-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
16.01.2010 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
21.03.2009 Levante Levante 3-1 HT 2-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
18.10.2008 CD Castellon CD Castellon 4-1 HT 2-0 Levante Levante İS2
08.04.2006 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
05.11.2005 Levante Levante 3-2 HT 1-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
POST-MATCH Levante vs CD Castellon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante nicked a narrow win over CD Castellon 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Levante made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Levante had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Levante and 1.33 for CD Castellon.

What was the final score of Levante vs CD Castellon?

Levante 1-0 CD Castellon in the Friendlies on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs CD Castellon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Levante 40%, draw 31%, CD Castellon 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Levante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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