Austria Klagenfurt 3-2 Leoben — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.46
Over 2.5
59%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
25%
+16.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
75%
-16.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.9pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Leoben EU Bookmakers 20%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.59/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.50
-20% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
476 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Leoben
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.10.2023 Leoben Leoben 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt HAZ
11.07.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 4-0 Leoben Leoben HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
3-2
AWAY Leoben
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs Leoben
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Klagenfurt nicked a narrow win over Leoben 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Austria Klagenfurt as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 56% of the ball to Leoben's 44%, shots finished 21-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Austria Klagenfurt had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 0.00 for Leoben.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs Leoben?

Austria Klagenfurt 3-2 Leoben in the Friendlies on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs Leoben?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Klagenfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 53%, draw 21%, Leoben 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Klagenfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Klagenfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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