Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+16% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev
1-0
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev nicked a narrow win over Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dynamo Kiev had 50% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 50%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Mamelodi Sundowns in the Friendlies on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 43%, draw 30%, Mamelodi Sundowns 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Under 2.5
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