Amiens SC 2-3 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
34%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-12.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
21%
+12.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.8pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 25%
-74% / -74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-45% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage edged past Amiens SC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Amiens SC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Amiens SC 2-3 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Friendlies on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amiens SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 43%, draw 23%, Boussu Dour Borinage 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amiens SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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