Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erzgebirge Aue v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Erzgebirge Aue and Borussia Dortmund couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Borussia Dortmund at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.
On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 45% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 55%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.38 to 0.61.
What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia Dortmund?
Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 Borussia Dortmund in the Friendlies on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Borussia Dortmund?
Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 26%, draw 28%, Borussia Dortmund 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5 went the other way.