Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

Deportivo La Coruna
1-1 HT 1-1
Eldense
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Deportivo La Coruna vs Eldense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.31
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.95
X/1
15%
3.92
X/2
9%
8.96
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
10%
7.29
2/X
11%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v Eldense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 24%
-9% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.31/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.43
-30% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.6 Crosses 17.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Eldense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1-1
AWAY Eldense
1.47 xG 0.86
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 4
422 Passes 217
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
54 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna and Eldense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Coruna at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 64% of the ball to Eldense's 36%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 1.47 to 0.86.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Eldense?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 47%, draw 27%, Eldense 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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