Malaga 0-0 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.62
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.42
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
12%
5.4
X/2
9%
5.17
X/X
18%
3.22
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
4.15
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.14/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.12
-29% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.2 Crosses 20.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Real Oviedo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.46 xG 1.01
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 Passes 234
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2023 Malaga Malaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
24.10.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
07.05.2022 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
31.10.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-1 HT 1-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
17.05.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
09.01.2021 Malaga Malaga 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
0-0
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.05 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
298 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malaga vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga and Real Oviedo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Malaga had 53% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 47%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.05 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Malaga and 1.00 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Malaga vs Real Oviedo?

Malaga 0-0 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Malaga 37%, draw 31%, Real Oviedo 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Malaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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