Envigado 2-0 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.18/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.05
-10% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
16.7 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.05 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
245 Passes 258
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
18.03.2023 Envigado Envigado 0-1 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
24.03.2021 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 3-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
25.01.2020 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
04.11.2018 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
28.04.2018 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-1 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
2-0
AWAY Boyaca Chico
1.31 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
203 Passes 152
63% Pass Accuracy 55%
21 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado saw off Boyaca Chico 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Envigado as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Envigado had 53% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 47%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.31 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Envigado and 0.83 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Boyaca Chico?

Envigado 2-0 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Envigado 42%, draw 29%, Boyaca Chico 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Envigado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Envigado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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