Junior 3-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Feb 2024

📅02/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.37/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.23
+24% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
14.3 Crosses 12.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.90 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 Passes 300
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
11.12.2023 Junior Junior 3-2 HT 2-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
24.07.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
30.01.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
14.08.2022 Junior Junior 4-2 HT 2-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
17.02.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
3-0
AWAY Independiente Medellin
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
329 Passes 305
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Junior vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior swept aside Independiente Medellin 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Junior had 50% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 50%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Junior and 1.67 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Junior vs Independiente Medellin?

Junior 3-0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 02/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Junior 46%, draw 26%, Independiente Medellin 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Over 2.5
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