Motherwell 1-3 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
60%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.27
2-3 Goals
34%
2.01
4-5 Goals
30%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
24.3
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.4
1/X
5%
32.0
X/1
7%
27.0
X/2
12%
3.7
X/X
11%
9.41
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
41%
1.33
2/X
5%
27.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.4 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+12.4pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.0pp
60%
Away Win
80%
-19.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 84%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
0.62/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/0.75
+22% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +27%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
181 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 80%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.3
13.9 Crosses 24.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Celtic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.62 xG 2.47
23% Ball Possession 77%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
128 Passes 669
56% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 47
10 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2024 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
27.10.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 0-3 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
25.02.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 1-3 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
25.11.2023 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
30.09.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
22.04.2023 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motherwell
1-3
AWAY Celtic
0.52 xG 3.26
19% Ball Possession 81%
2 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
127 Passes 754
67% Pass Accuracy 91%
7 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 29
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic got the better of Motherwell 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Motherwell had 19% of the ball to Celtic's 81%, shots finished 2-18, expected goals 0.52 to 3.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Motherwell and 2.33 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Celtic?

Motherwell 1-3 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 18%, draw 22%, Celtic 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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