Manchester United 0-2 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 2 Feb 2025

Manchester United
0-2 HT 0-0
Crystal Palace
📅02/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Manchester United vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 23% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.6
X/1
11%
4.32
X/2
9%
9.07
X/X
14%
4.82
2/1
10%
23.85
2/2
15%
7.23
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-13.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.4pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.91/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.55
-10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +34%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
465 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
34.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.2 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Manchester United vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 0.99
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
560 Passes 276
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
06.05.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4-0 HT 2-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
30.09.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 0-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
26.09.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 2-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNLK
04.02.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-1 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
18.01.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Manchester United 0-2 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
0-2
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.12 xG 2.60
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 0
463 Passes 188
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
57 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace beat Manchester United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Crystal Palace made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Manchester United had 67% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 33%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.12 to 2.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Manchester United and 1.17 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Crystal Palace?

Manchester United 0-2 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 39%, draw 31%, Crystal Palace 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Manchester United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
2 Feb 2025
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