Crystal Palace 0-0 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
13%
9.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.24 — our 26% vs market 18.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.94
1/2
5%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
9%
6.23
X/2
9%
5.44
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.25
2/X
8%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.42/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.47
+16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
16.7 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crystal Palace
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Manchester United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.29
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 542
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4-0 HT 2-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
30.09.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 0-1 HT 0-1 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
26.09.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 2-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNLK
04.02.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 2-1 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
18.01.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
22.05.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace
0-0
AWAY Manchester United
1.01 xG 1.70
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 11
221 Passes 547
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace and Manchester United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Crystal Palace had 33% of the ball to Manchester United's 67%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.01 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Crystal Palace and 1.00 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?

Crystal Palace 0-0 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace 40%, draw 27%, Manchester United 33%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Crystal Palace) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✓ Under 2.5
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