West Ham United 0-3 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

West Ham United
0-3 HT 0-2
Chelsea
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

West Ham United vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.98
2-3 Goals
33%
1.95
4-5 Goals
32%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.8
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.4
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
13%
7.49
X/2
15%
4.8
X/X
10%
5.75
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
18%
2.6
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.4 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-1.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Ham United v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.24/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.19
+9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +1%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 84%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
19.6 Crosses 18.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

West Ham United vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chelsea
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 2.35
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
224 Passes 605
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 5-0 HT 3-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
20.08.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 3-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
11.02.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
03.09.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
24.04.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 1-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
04.12.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 3-2 HT 1-2 Chelsea Chelsea İNP

West Ham United 0-3 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
0-3
AWAY Chelsea
0.85 xG 2.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
444 Passes 393
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
36 Box Touches 32
29 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Chelsea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea ran out comfortable winners over West Ham United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, West Ham United had 53% of the ball to Chelsea's 47%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.85 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for West Ham United and 2.00 for Chelsea.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Chelsea?

West Ham United 0-3 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Chelsea?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 32%, draw 26%, Chelsea 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
21 Sep 2024
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