Tottenham 3-1 Brentford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

Tottenham
3-1 HT 2-1
Brentford
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Tottenham vs Brentford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.17
2-3 Goals
39%
2.09
4-5 Goals
25%
2.55
6+ Goals
15%
5.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.78
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.35
X/1
11%
3.99
X/2
12%
12.5
X/X
8%
7.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
18%
18.95
2/2
6%
8.26
2/X
5%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.95 — our 18% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tottenham v Brentford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Brentford EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.89/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.72
+15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
460 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.7 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Tottenham vs Brentford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tottenham
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Brentford
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.40
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
479 Passes 271
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.01.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 3-2 HT 0-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
13.08.2023 Brentford Brentford 2-2 HT 2-2 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
20.05.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-3 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
26.12.2022 Brentford Brentford 2-2 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
23.04.2022 Brentford Brentford 0-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
02.12.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP

Tottenham 3-1 Brentford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham
3-1
AWAY Brentford
3.52 xG 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
355 Passes 393
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
61 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tottenham vs Brentford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham saw off Brentford 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tottenham as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tottenham had 48% of the ball to Brentford's 52%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 3.52 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tottenham and 1.50 for Brentford.

What was the final score of Tottenham vs Brentford?

Tottenham 3-1 Brentford in the England - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham vs Brentford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tottenham 54%, draw 23%, Brentford 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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