Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa v Wolverhampton — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Aston Villa
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Aston Villa
İNP
1-1
HT 0-1
Wolverhampton
İNP
2-1
HT 2-0
Aston Villa
İNP
2-3
HT 0-0
Wolverhampton
İNP
Aston Villa 3-1 Wolverhampton — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa beat Wolverhampton 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Aston Villa had 53% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 47%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.73 to 0.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolverhampton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aston Villa and 1.33 for Wolverhampton.
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton?
Aston Villa 3-1 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 54%, draw 24%, Wolverhampton 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.