Leicester City 1-1 Everton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

Leicester City
1-1 HT 0-1
Everton
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Leicester City vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.77
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 25% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
14%
4.82
X/2
13%
7.25
X/X
13%
4.78
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
13%
5.0
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leicester City v Everton — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.27/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.39
-21% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
17.4 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Leicester City vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Everton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.71 xG 1.51
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
468 Passes 271
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.05.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 2-2 HT 2-1 Everton Everton İNP
05.11.2022 Everton Everton 0-2 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
08.05.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 1-2 HT 1-2 Everton Everton İNP
20.04.2022 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 0-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
27.01.2021 Everton Everton 1-1 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
16.12.2020 Leicester City Leicester City 0-2 HT 0-1 Everton Everton İNP

Leicester City 1-1 Everton — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
1-1
AWAY Everton
0.66 xG 1.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
389 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 25
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City and Everton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leicester City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Leicester City had 59% of the ball to Everton's 41%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.66 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leicester City and 1.33 for Everton.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Everton?

Leicester City 1-1 Everton in the England - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Everton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 42%, draw 26%, Everton 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leicester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ Under 2.5
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İNP More England - Premier League
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