Liverpool 3-0 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
7.72
2-3 Goals
35%
2.27
4-5 Goals
30%
2.41
6+ Goals
16%
4.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.45
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.85
X/1
18%
3.74
X/2
6%
20.25
X/X
9%
9.86
2/1
8%
18.85
2/2
6%
13.3
2/X
6%
21.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.8pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.5pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
2.48/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.03
+7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
482 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
42.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
24.2 Crosses 12.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Bournemouth
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.18 xG 1.04
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
529 Passes 202
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
35 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-4 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
01.11.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-2 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNLK
19.08.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-1 HT 2-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
11.03.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
27.08.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 9-0 HT 5-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
07.03.2020 Liverpool Liverpool 2-1 HT 2-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
3-0
AWAY Bournemouth
2.06 xG 1.08
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 19
13 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
519 Passes 332
89% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool swept aside Bournemouth 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Liverpool had 59% of the ball to Bournemouth's 41%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 2.06 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Liverpool and 0.67 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Bournemouth?

Liverpool 3-0 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 62%, draw 20%, Bournemouth 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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