Southampton 1-1 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.36
1/2
10%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
17%
5.35
X/2
11%
6.11
X/X
14%
4.68
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
11%
4.05
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.95/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.89
-34% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.6 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 0.81
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
482 Passes 270
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Southampton Southampton İNCL
19.09.2023 Southampton Southampton 0-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
14.01.2015 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Southampton Southampton FAK
04.01.2015 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 1-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town FAK
06.03.2012 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
16.08.2011 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-5 HT 0-3 Southampton Southampton İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton
1-1
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.49 xG 1.69
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
428 Passes 350
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Southampton vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton and Ipswich Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Southampton had 54% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 46%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.49 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Southampton and 1.33 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Ipswich Town?

Southampton 1-1 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Southampton 39%, draw 30%, Ipswich Town 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southampton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southampton) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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