Ipswich Town vs Southampton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ipswich Town v Southampton — Team-Based Signals
Ipswich Town vs Southampton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Ipswich Town
İNCL
0-1
HT 0-1
Southampton
FAK
1-1
HT 1-1
Ipswich Town
FAK
1-1
HT 0-0
Ipswich Town
İNCL
2-5
HT 0-3
Southampton
İNCL
2-1
HT 1-0
Ipswich Town
FAK
Ipswich Town 3-2 Southampton — Actual Match Statistics
Ipswich Town edged past Southampton 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Ipswich Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Ipswich Town had 35% of the ball to Southampton's 65%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.95 to 1.34.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.67 for Southampton.
What was the final score of Ipswich Town vs Southampton?
Ipswich Town 3-2 Southampton in the England - Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ipswich Town vs Southampton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ipswich Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ipswich Town 40%, draw 23%, Southampton 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ipswich Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.