Yverdon 3-0 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.23
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
9%
12.45
X/1
13%
5.2
X/2
13%
6.53
X/X
10%
4.41
2/1
5%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.61
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.15/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.44
-66% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
13.0 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Winterthur
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 0.98
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
03.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
28.10.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-1 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
02.09.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
24.04.2022 Yverdon Yverdon 2-2 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
28.02.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 2-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
3-0
AWAY Winterthur
2.32 xG 0.71
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
160 Passes 472
66% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon ran out comfortable winners over Winterthur 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yverdon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yverdon had 30% of the ball to Winterthur's 70%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 2.32 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Yverdon and 1.33 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Winterthur?

Yverdon 3-0 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 42%, draw 25%, Winterthur 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yverdon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yverdon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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