Zürich 0-1 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.75
2-3 Goals
35%
1.95
4-5 Goals
29%
2.87
6+ Goals
15%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.39
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.3
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
10%
8.09
X/2
17%
4.99
X/X
8%
5.47
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
26%
2.53
2/X
7%
12.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.3 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
50%
Away Win
48%
+1.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.3pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.20/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.11
+9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
18.2 Crosses 21.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Basel
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.35 xG 0.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
245 Passes 360
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Basel Basel 0-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
30.03.2024 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 2-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
21.01.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
03.09.2023 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
07.05.2023 Basel Basel 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
08.04.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
0-1
AWAY Basel
2.38 xG 1.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
353 Passes 317
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel nicked a narrow win over Zürich 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zürich had 53% of the ball to Basel's 47%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 2.38 to 1.65 — on chances, Zürich could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zürich and 0.83 for Basel.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Basel?

Zürich 0-1 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Zürich 27%, draw 23%, Basel 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İSV More Switzerland - Super League
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