Basel 0-2 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Sep 2024

Basel
0-2 HT 0-1
Zürich
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

Basel vs Zürich Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.87
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.71
X/2
11%
6.79
X/X
14%
4.87
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
16%
4.8
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Basel v Zürich — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.75/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.33
-15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
21.2 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Basel vs Zürich Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Zürich
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 1.31
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
392 Passes 227
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 2-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
21.01.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
03.09.2023 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
07.05.2023 Basel Basel 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
08.04.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
20.10.2022 Basel Basel 0-0 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV

Basel 0-2 Zürich — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
0-2
AWAY Zürich
0.44 xG 0.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
358 Passes 244
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Basel vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich beat Basel 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; Zürich found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Basel had 58% of the ball to Zürich's 42%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.44 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Basel and 1.17 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Basel vs Zürich?

Basel 0-2 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Basel 40%, draw 26%, Zürich 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✗ BTTS Yes
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