Winterthur 2-1 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
9.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 25% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.38
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
18%
4.38
X/2
12%
8.35
X/X
13%
5.4
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
12%
5.85
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.20/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.10
-14% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
17.0 Crosses 13.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Yverdon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-1 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
02.09.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
24.04.2022 Yverdon Yverdon 2-2 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
28.02.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 2-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
19.11.2021 Yverdon Yverdon 2-1 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
02.10.2021 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
2-1
AWAY Yverdon
0.66 xG 0.92
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
409 Passes 232
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur nicked a narrow win over Yverdon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Winterthur as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Winterthur had 62% of the ball to Yverdon's 38%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.66 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Winterthur and 1.00 for Yverdon.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Yverdon?

Winterthur 2-1 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winterthur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 42%, draw 27%, Yverdon 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Winterthur) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Winterthur) ✗ Under 2.5
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