Zürich 1-0 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Mar 2024

Zürich
1-0 HT 1-0
Young Boys
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2023/2024

Zürich vs Young Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.41
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.21
X/2
10%
5.92
X/X
14%
4.57
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
17%
4.07
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.7pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zürich v Young Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.44/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.41
+4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.9 Crosses 23.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Zürich vs Young Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Young Boys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.01 xG 1.35
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
190 Passes 392
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Zürich Zürich 3-1 HT 2-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
21.10.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
14.05.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 1-1 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
25.02.2023 Zürich Zürich 2-2 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
16.10.2022 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
16.07.2022 Young Boys Young Boys 4-0 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV

Zürich 1-0 Young Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
1-0
AWAY Young Boys
1.08 xG 1.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
205 Passes 281
64% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich squeezed past Young Boys 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Zürich found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zürich had 43% of the ball to Young Boys's 57%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.08 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zürich and 1.33 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Young Boys?

Zürich 1-0 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zürich 40%, draw 26%, Young Boys 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zürich), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zürich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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