Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Hoffenheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
86%
1.16
Draw
8%
7.13
Away
6%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
20%
3.59
Over
80%
1.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
8%
8.45
2-3
36%
2.39
4-5
37%
2.3
6+
19%
3.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
63%
1.24
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
2%
28.0
X/1
19%
4.03
X/2
2%
31.5
X/X
5%
13.0
2/1
3%
19.8
2/2
3%
25.5
2/X
2%
33.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Bayer Leverkusen The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim The Market 9%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
3.21 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.88
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.71
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
494 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
39 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
20 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hoffenheim
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.40 xG 1.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
476 Passes 338
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
37 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-4 HT 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
30.03.2024 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
04.11.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-3 HT 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
11.02.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 1-3 HT 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
20.08.2022 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0-3 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
07.05.2022 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 2-4 HT 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen
3 - 1
AWAY Hoffenheim
1.40 xG 2.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
441 Passes 446
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bayer Leverkusen saw off Hoffenheim 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 86%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (80%) landed.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 48% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 52%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.40 to 2.35 — on chances, Hoffenheim could feel hard done by.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.67 for Hoffenheim.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim Result & Final Score

Bayer Leverkusen 3 - 1 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 86%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 86%, draw 8%, Hoffenheim 6%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL1 More Germany - Bundesliga
2 Feb 2025
17:30 Eintracht Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg Analysis →