Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bayer Leverkusen v Hoffenheim — Team-Based Signals
Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
1-3
HT 0-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
0-3
HT 0-2
Hoffenheim
AL1
2-4
HT 2-1
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
2-2
HT 1-0
Hoffenheim
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Bayer Leverkusen
AL1
Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim — Actual Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen edged past Hoffenheim 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Bayer Leverkusen had 68% of the ball to Hoffenheim's 32%, shots finished 34-6, expected goals 3.15 to 0.75 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayer Leverkusen's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.67 for Hoffenheim.
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim?
Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Hoffenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen 64%, draw 19%, Hoffenheim 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.