Werder Bremen 0-2 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 30 Mar 2024

Werder Bremen
0-2 HT 0-1
Wolfsburg
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.66
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.58
X/2
12%
5.6
X/X
11%
4.73
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
15%
3.68
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Werder Bremen v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.46/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.36
+12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
16.8 Crosses 19.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wolfsburg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.09 xG 1.34
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
308 Passes 406
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
28.01.2023 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2-1 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
06.08.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 1-2 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
20.03.2021 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 1-2 HT 1-2 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
27.11.2020 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 5-3 HT 3-2 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen AL1
07.06.2020 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1

Werder Bremen 0-2 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Werder Bremen
0-2
AWAY Wolfsburg
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
377 Passes 382
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg got the better of Werder Bremen 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Werder Bremen had 49% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 51%, shots finished 6-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Werder Bremen and 2.17 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg?

Werder Bremen 0-2 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen 42%, draw 25%, Wolfsburg 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Werder Bremen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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